German Weekend

[chriscol]

i'll start in the weekend with a couple of regionalliga matches:

Leverkusen(a)- Essen: Essen to win at 1.85

Leverkusen only 2 pts in last 10 games is playing crap and will most likely be relegated. Essen on the other hand is currently in second place and is comeing off a big home win over third place Aue. They are the much better team, much more confident team and they will bring more fans to Leverkusen than the avarage spectators for leverkusen games. That means as an extry for us, no real away game. Great value here

Aue- Verl: Aue to win at 1.5

Aue is sitting in 3rd place.(2nd place will promote). they lost big match in Essen last week after comeing off 6 wins in a row. they are a dominant home team and as far as i read comments this week, they believe in their chance and last week's loss should not be a reason for lack of confidence.
Verl is fighting againstz relegation is is in a major slump right now. i dont see them come out of it against a confident and better Aue team.

 

[chriscol]

i'll make Essen to win a BIG PLAY.
reading several newspapers this morning here in Essen, this team should be fired up for today's match.
10.000 fans from Essen are expected to travel to Leverkusen with the team,which is amazing for regionalliga (even for Bundesliga).
I've been around 11:00 hours at the central station and already 3 hours before game time evereything was "red and white" waiting for the trains leaving to leverkusen.

Bundesliga write ups comeing in a couple of minutes...

 

[chriscol]

Bundesliga Saturday:

1860 münchen - Cottbus:münchen to win at 1.46

1860 comeing off an away win at nürnberg is playing to get into UI-cup and should be able to get the home win over cottbus which is relegated since last week.

Hamburg- Leverkusen: OVER 2.5 BIG PLAY

Hamburg is next to bayern the best home team and lost only to bayern in aol arena this season. they are in race to secure uefa-spot and have outside shot at CL. Normally they would be the play at home, but today i'm not so sure.
Leverkusen is playing better recently. i'm not sure they'll get a point today,but i dont think they will be relegated.
Hamburg could not win one out of last 8 home games against leverkusen, so history should make us aware here.
i'll fade the side today, as i expect leverkusen to put on a good effort,but not sure if it will be enough.
The play here is OVER:
Both teams need the win. hamburg will go on offense, cause they are at home where they always play 90 minutes pure offense. Leverkusen, too, will be offensivly minded. that's their only chance, cause they are too vulnurable at defense. They will start with 3 strikers,which shows they dont come to hamburg to defend a 0-0.

Hamburg will score and leverkusen will score. let'S hope it's not a 1-1.

 

[JackDee]

Chris a good betting buddy of mine suggested a (risky) bet on x2 leverkusen or he handicap 1/4 goal.

And thinks wolfsburg-1/4 is a good bet as well.

Any views?

 

[chriscol]

more games comeing up..

 

[chriscol]

Stuttgart-Bremen: Stuttgart to win

Stuttgart playing great football at the moment. they are playing on a wave of confidence.
bremen on the outer side won last week at home, but is not playing too wel recently. top striker ailton will not play. for stuttgart everybody is available. they should get the home win and stay in race for CL-spot.

wolfsburg-Kaiserslautern: wolfsburg to win (if you like, go with -1/4,but i think win straight up)

Wolfsburg is one of the strongest home teams in league. they dont win in dominant fashion,but they are winning their games. they also got decent results in last away games. in my opinion they are overlooked here in germany. they should head for an ui-cup spot and get another home winner today against kaiserslautern.
Lautern had a great run to get almost out of relegation-danger. but they look tired and not so fired up in last 3 weeks. Loosing away and getting their points with 3 lucky 1-0 home wins in a row.
Lautern away is a bet against for me at the moment in almost every place.

Also looking for Berlin to have a chance at home against Bayern.
Dortmund should win against Nürnberg. But not sure to lay 1.5 goals.
Gladbach-Rostock is completely open IMO.

Jack, i think Leverkusen +1/4 is very risky. as said above they do have a shot,but hamburg is the only place in bundesliga i will not bet on leverkusen right now (even with the +1/4).
Take the OVER here.

 

[jjgold]

Hamburger SV (1x2)

-102

Great Material Guy and good luck

 

[chriscol]

first two winners are in:
both game in regionalliga were pretty easy winners:
Leverkusen-Essen 0-3 (big play)
Aue-Verl 3-0

 

[JackDee]

Great picks & analysis chriscol.

Thanks for the cash.

 

[chriscol]

great day yesterday. let's continue for the sunday:

SUNDAY

1.Bundesliga:

Schalke-Hannover: Schalke to win
it'S the last chance for schalke to get into uefa-cup. they HAVE to win.
there was lots of trouble in the club this week. talking about the approach of several players towards the game, and so on..
i expect them to be fired up, at least for today's game.
Hannover is slumping abit recently. they are still in danger of relegation and would be save with a win today. but although thgey are playing better away than at home i dont see them getting a point today ON schalke

Bielefeld-Bochum: NO PLAY
there is lot of bad emotion between clubs from the past..players changing from one club to the other.obscene gestures of players towards fans and so on.
from the game side, it's more than an important match for both team to avoid relegation. This can go either way. i've absolutely no clue, how to cap this game. i'll just sit and watch the emotions (great prop would be nunmber of yellow cards

)

2.Bundesliga

Here is my SUPER TOP PLAY

Burgahusen- Freiburg: Freiburg to win at 2.15 VERY BIG PLAY

Burghausen has nothing to play for since last week. they had a good run recently to secure 2.liga for next week, but there should have been lot of party during the week and no focus at all on today'S game.there will be party in the stadium regardless of the outcome today.
Why not make it a bigger party and loose?
If freiburg wins today they clinche promotion.
Freiburg got 5 wins out of last 6 games. they are hot and motivated to clinche today.
i dont see any way they will not today.
Go with the better, hotter and more motivated team. There will be party for both after game

Also risky plays in 2.Liga:
i like st.pauli get at least 1 point in karlsruhe, and aachen to win at home against oberhausen which secured liga last week.

BOL and lot's of money with Freiburg:

BTW: my money today in hockey with sweden, but wouldn't it be great to have canada as world champion: They draw against Duck's denmark and won very lucky against germany in OT

i think than we also should get a bit of the medal

 

[jjgold]

Bielefeld -1/2 -112

good luck

 

[chriscol]

The BIG PLAY Freiburg hit:
freiburg promoted as 2nd team to 1.bundesliga with a 2-1 win.
also st.pauli draw (winner) and aachen won at home.
Great day so far let's hope for schalke

 

[JackDee]

great stuff chris, you are on fire, pitty i missed it.

bol of luck with the bundes.1 plays.

 

[jus000]

Great job Chris! I'm mad about Freiburg though. I went to put it in, and Pinnacle didn't have it listed?? They had the other division 2 games listed, but didn't have Freiburg. I noticed that Olympic had the line up though. Good job on the games Chris, and GO SCHALKE!

-justin